(Institutional Advisors)
Si le Gold dépasse le seuil des $1613 (et le Silver celui des $29.33), on se retrouverait dans une configuration
haussière de l'ordre de 14% (plus encore pour Silver) par rapport aux "tested Lows"
($1560 pour Gold et 26.16 pour le Silver)
En effet :
«March has a record of producing mid-month reversals in the gold and silver markets.
Prior to the current bull market, most years had a tendency to record interim highs in March,
decline into late April, have choppy upside action through May and a seasonal low in the summer.
More recently, prices have been turning up by early April as displayed in the
www.seasonalcharts.com chart that includes the recent bull market, but not the two bull markets of the 1970’s.
The most consistently constructive pattern over the forty years developed when the prices of gold
and silver make a late-February / early-March low then tested it within five trading days and both
metals experienced breakouts on the upside after the fifteenth of March. Such examples were
present in 2010, 2006, 2002, 1993, 1987 and 1985. This year has the opportunity to develop in
that manner.
The key resistance levels to monitor for confirmed breakouts are $1613 and $29.33.
Rallies from the ‘tested low’ are generally in excess of 14% in gold and even more in silver.
Risk for traders should be limited to the “tested low” at $1560.
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